Showing posts with label Food. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Food. Show all posts

9/19/10

Japan, China I

"On the anniversary of the 1931 Japanese invasion of China,
tensions between the world's second and third largest economies are escalating.


 The Associated Press reports that late Sunday,
China broke off high-level government contacts with Japan:


"over the extended detention of a fishing boat captain arrested near disputed islands.


The rare move pushed already tense relations to a new low,
and showed China's willingness to play hardball with its Asian rival
on issues of territorial integrity."


Did increasing supplies of money, fossil fuel and food,
contribute to Earth’s human population rising
from 1.6 billion at the beginning of the 20th century,
to more than 6.8 billion in a little more than 100 years?


The latest straw on the camel's back was the detention of a Chinese fishing boat and its captain,
after it hit two Japanese Coast Guard boats in the East China Sea,
a territory claimed by both countries...


..."the captain's detention ...has inflamed ever-present anti-Japanese sentiment in China."


..."Beijing has suspended ministerial and provincial-level contacts,
halted talks on aviation issues and postponed a meeting to discuss coal."..."


Tyler Durden


"If Japan acts willfully, making mistake after mistake, China will take strong countermeasures, and all the consequences will be borne by the Japanese side," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Ma Zhaoxu said in a statement.

What happens when many without food, water and energy
want the few who have to share?


Takeshi Matsunaga, a spokesman for Japan's Foreign Ministry, said the reported measures were unilateral.

"We ask China to respond calmly so as not to escalate the problem further," he said.

If mold continues to multiply after eating half a piece of cheese
what happens when demand exceeds supply?


The move raises questions about cooperation between China and Japan at international forums such as this week's summit in New York on United Nations goals to fight poverty, which Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao and Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan are attending.

...China's decision to cut high-level contacts appears to reflect a worry about losing face in front of the Chinese public which might trigger a nationalistic backlash against the government if it appears weak or unable to protect the country's sovereignty.

Have the powerful created symbols for the powerless to destroy
to turn tyranny into nationalism?


If the Russians invaded Chechnya at the beginning of the Olympics,
could China make a move on Japan
in the concurrent or in the immediate aftermath of a severe weather event,
like a hurricane/typhoon?


...the number of Chinese tourists visiting Japan has plunged because of the dispute, ...A Beijing-based food company announced it would cancel a planned group tour to Japan for 10,000 people to reward employees, their families and business partners.

Beijing made the announcements shortly after a Japanese court approved a 10-day extension of captain Zhan Qixiong's detention."

Associated Press

"...a direct result of this action will be the massive gobbling up of even more JGBs
in an attempt by the PBoC to once again streghten the yen,
as Central Bank warfare escalates,
forcing the Bank of Japan to intervene yet again in the FX market,
further angering Europe, whose currency has surged by over 10% in the past week,
and making life for investors on either side of the Atlantic and Pacific ever more unpredictable,
in a landscape in which the biggest marginal buyers (and sellers) of securities
are increasingly the central banks themselves.


The only winner out of this: the US Treasury department
which buys even more time to proceed with a failed Keynesian policy
of pereptually debt-funded, deficit creation."


Tlyer Durden

9/5/10

Russian Wheat Export Ban = Riots in Mozambique?

The flapping of a single butterfly's wing today produces a tiny change…
…so, in a month's time,
a tornado that would have devastated the Indonesian coast doesn't happen,
or maybe one that wasn't going to happen does.


Ian Stewart
The Mathematics of Chaos


"U.N. Raises Concerns as Global Food Prices Jump
By NEIL MacFARQUHAR


With memories still fresh of food riots set off by spiking prices just two years ago, agricultural experts on Friday cast a wary eye on the steep rise in the cost of wheat prompted by a Russian export ban and the questions looming over harvests in other parts of the world because of drought or flooding.

Food prices rose 5 percent globally during August, according to the United Nations, spurred mostly by the higher cost of wheat, and the first signs of unrest erupted as 10 people died in Mozambique during clashes ignited partly by a 30 percent leap in the cost of bread.

If too many Gazelles relative to water and grass lead to fewer Gazelles,
do fewer Gazelles  =  fewer Cheetahs?


...It is an issue not limited to Russia alone. Harvest forecasts in Germany and Canada are clouded by wet weather and flooding, while crops in Argentina will suffer from drought, as could Australia’s, according to agricultural experts. The bump in prices because of the uncertainty about future supplies means the poor in some areas of the world will face higher bread prices in the coming months.

If water was money and grass was credit
and Cheetahs and Gazelles were people,
who would be who?


Food prices are still some 30 percent below the 2008 levels, Mr. Abbassian said, when a tripling in the price of rice among other staples led to food riots in about a dozen countries and helped topple at least one government.

Did shortages of arable land and food
coincide with many Rwandan Hutus eliminating many Tutsis?


...In June, Russia was predicting a loss of just a few million metric tons due to hot weather, but by August it announced it would lose about one-fifth of its crop. Wheat prices more than doubled in that period.

...In early August, Russia announced an export ban that it would review at the end of the year, but Prime Minister Vladimir V. Putin announced Thursday that the ban on grain exports would extend into 2011. The price of wheat jumped again, and that has had a spillover effect into other grains like corn and soybeans. The forecast for the global rice harvest has also dropped, although it is still expected to be higher than in 2009 and should be a record...

Only seven meals separate civilization from potential anarchy.


Josette Sheeran
UN World Food Program


 

...After two days of rioting set off by price increases for bread and utilities like electricity and water, the streets in Maputo, the capital of Mozambique, were largely calm on Friday.

...Price increases have been much sharper in Mozambique than in most of the world because the government kept prices artificially low before elections last year...

What could happen if there’s enough food but some can’t afford it,
or governments can’t provide it?


As with any commodity, questions of wheat shortages spur speculation and hoarding, and experts suggest both are at play...

 

But the world also has to come to grips with changing weather patterns due to climate change, argued Prof. Per Pinstrup-Anderson, an expert in international agriculture at Cornell University.

You're captives of a civilizational system
that more or less compels you to go on destroying the world
 in order to live.


Daniel Quinn
Postulated correlations between  population growth
and natural resource consumption


“We are going to have much bigger fluctuations in weather and therefore the food supply than we had in the past, so we are going to have to learn how to cope with fluctuating food prices,” Professor Pinstrup-Anderson said."

New York Times

How many need and/or want how much of what,
where is half way, who’s got what’s left, who gets cut off when,
who will compete with who for what’s left,
and how is who most likely to win?

2/4/10

Could 2010’s Hurricane Season be a biggie?

El Nino May Fade, Boosting Odds of Atlantic Storms

The El Nino warming phenomenon will likely fade in the Pacific sometime in the next six months, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center said today, increasing the chances of an above-average hurricane year in the Atlantic.

…If El Nino fades in June, it is one factor that may mean more Atlantic storms this year…

…The Australian Bureau of Meteorology yesterday released an El Nino outlook that said the phenomenon seems to have peaked in December and is likely to be over by June.

El Nino is a warming that occurs every two to five years, on average, and lasts about 12 months. It is credited with making the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season, which ended Nov. 30, the least active in 12 years…

…The warming in the Pacific sets up wind shear in the Atlantic that tears potential hurricanes apart before they can form. When an El Nino fades, those winds decline in the areas through which storms usually move and gather strength…

Atlantic hurricanes can be a threat to the Gulf of Mexico, which is home to about 27 percent of U.S. oil and 15 percent of U.S. natural gas production…

Similarities to 1969

…There were 18 storms in the Atlantic that year, 12 of which were hurricanes…

…The Climate Prediction Center said the effects of El Nino will persist, showing themselves in cooler and stormier weather in the southern U.S.

Brian K. Sullivan
Bloomberg

1/15/10

More Falsified Climate Propaganda by Lying Evil Scientists


Arctic permafrost leaking methane at record levels


 


Experts say methane emissions from the Arctic have risen by almost one-third in just five years, and that sharply rising temperatures are to blame


 


Scientists have recorded a massive spike in the amount of a powerful greenhouse gas seeping from Arctic permafrost, in a discovery that highlights the risks of a dangerous climate tipping point.


 


…The discovery follows a string of reports from the region in recent years that previously frozen boggy soils are melting and releasing methane in greater quantities. Such Arctic soils currently lock away billions of tonnes of methane, a far more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, leading some scientists to describe melting permafrost as a ticking time bomb that could overwhelm efforts to tackle climate change.


 


They fear the warming caused by increased methane emissions will itself release yet more methane and lock the region into a destructive cycle that forces temperatures to rise faster than predicted.


 


Global warming is occurring twice as fast in the Arctic than anywhere else on Earth. Some regions have already warmed by 2.5C…


 


The new study, published in the journal Science, shows that methane emissions from the Arctic increased by 31% from 2003-07…The 31% rise in methane emissions there from 2003-07 was enough to help lift the global average increase to 7%.


 


The new study follows repeated warnings that even modest levels of global warming could trigger huge increases in methane release from permafrost. Phillipe Ciais, a researcher with the Laboratory for Climate Sciences and the Environment in Gif-sur-Yvette, France, told a scientific meeting in Copenhagen last March that billions of tonnes could be released by just a 2C average global rise.


 


…methane is pound-for-pound a more potent greenhouse gas, capable of trapping some 20 times more heat than CO2.


 


David Adam


guardian.co.uk, Thursday 14 January


1/3/10

Satanic Climate Change Propaganda by Evil Lying Scientists


Climate change far worse than thought before


 


…Over the past 25 years temperatures have increased at a rate of 0.19 degree Celsius per decade. The trend has continued over the last 10 years despite a decrease in radiation from the sun.


 


* The studies show extreme hot temperature events have increased, extreme cold temperature events have decreased, heavy rain or snow has become heavier, while there has been increase in drought as well.


 


They also show that the intensity of cyclones has increased in the past three decades in line with rising tropical ocean temperatures.


 


* Satellites show recent global average sea level rise (3.4 mm/year over the past 15 years) to be about 80 percent above IPCC predictions. This acceleration is consistent with a doubling in contribution from melting of glaciers, ice caps, and the Greenland and West-Antarctic ice sheets.


 


New estimates of ocean heat uptake are 50 percent higher than previous calculations. Global ocean surface temperature reached the warmest ever recorded in June, July and August 2009. 


 


…* A wide array of satellite and ice measurements demonstrate that both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are melting at an increasing rate. Melting of glaciers and ice-caps in other parts of the world has also accelerated since 1990.


 


The contribution of glaciers and ice-caps to global sea level rise has increased from 0.8 mm per year in the 1990s to 1.2 mm per year today.


 


…The net loss of ice from the Greenland ice sheet has accelerated since the mid-1990s and is now contributing 0.7 mm per year to sea level rise due to both increased melting and accelerated ice flow. Antarctica is also losing ice mass at an increasing rate, mostly from the West Antarctic ice sheet due to increased ice flow. Antarctica is currently contributing to sea level rise at a rate nearly equal to Greenland.


 


* Summer-time melting of Arctic sea-ice has accelerated far beyond the expectations of climate models. The area of summertime sea-ice 2007-09 was about 40 percent less than the average prediction from IPCC climate models in the 2007 report.


 


…* New ice-core records...show that carbon dioxide levels are higher now than they have been during the last 800,000 years.


 


The Times of India, January 3, 2010


12/16/09

This must be an elaborate, premeditated, sinister hoax perpetrated by immoral tree hugging scientists who should have their PhDs revoked


Sea levels set to rise more than expected due to 'deeply surprising' Greenland melt


 


A new study by the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program…found that discharge from Greenland had increased by 30 percent over the last decade: jumping from 330 billion giga tons in 1995 to 430 billion giga tons in 2005.


 


Jeremy Hance


mongabay.com, December 14, 2009


Can some believe what isn't or refuse to believe what is?

Not to transmit an experience is to betray it.


 


Elie Wiesel


With the merits of the debate for or against climate change set aside,


 is it plausible that some who believe Earth isn’t warming are subconsciously in denial that their actions may have contributed to the potential extinction of our species, while some who think the world is warming feel culpable and want to rescue their offspring or legacies, as most are apathetic either way?


 


What if what you think isn’t?


 


A myth is a fixed way of looking at the world which cannot be destroyed


because, looked at through the myth


all evidence supports that myth


 


Edward de Bono



Can expectation effect perception?

12/15/09

If water was money and grass was credit, and Cheetahs and Gazelles were people, who would be who?

Current world population    6.8 billion


 


Net growth per day      218,030


 


2040 Forecast    9 billion


 


Census Bureau


 


There are probably already too many people on the planet.


 


We need to continue to decrease the growth rate


 of the global population.


 


The planet can't support many more people.


 


Dr Nina Fedoroff


National Medal of Science Laureate


Professor of Molecular Biology


Science and Technology Advisor


 to the US Secretary of State since 2007


 


If Gazelles need water and grass


and Cheetahs need water and Gazelles


and an abundance of sustenance leads to more Gazelles,


should more Gazelles and water lead to more Cheetahs?


 


If too many Gazelles relative to water and grass lead to fewer Gazelles,


do fewer Gazelles  =  fewer Cheetahs?


 


Population, when unchecked,


increases in a geometrical ratio.


 


Subsistence only increases in an arithmetical ratio.


 


Thomas Robert Malthus


Suggested populations could increase faster than food supplies

12/13/09

Are there too many people?

The real inconvenient truth: The whole world needs to adopt China's one-child policy


 


The "inconvenient truth" overhanging the UN's Copenhagen conference is not that the climate is warming or cooling, but that humans are overpopulating the world.


 


…The world's other species, vegetation, resources, oceans, arable land, water supplies and atmosphere are being destroyed and pushed out of existence as a result of humanity's soaring reproduction rate.


 


Ironically, China, despite its dirty coal plants, is the world's leader in terms of fashioning policy to combat environmental degradation, thanks to its one-child-only edict.


 


The intelligence behind this is the following:


 


-If only one child per female was born as of now, the world's population would drop from its current 6.5 billion to 5.5 billion by 2050, according to a study done for scientific academy Vienna Institute of Demography.


 


-By 2075, there would be 3.43 billion humans on the planet. This would have immediate positive effects on the world's forests, other species, the oceans, atmospheric quality and living standards.


 


-Doing nothing, by contrast, will result in an unsustainable population of nine billion by 2050.


 


Humans are the only rational animals but have yet to prove it. Medical and other scientific advances have benefited by delivering lower infant mortality rates as well as longevity. Both are welcome, but humankind has not yet recalibrated its behavior to account for the fact that the world can only accommodate so many people, especially if billions get indoor plumbing and cars.


 


The fix is simple. It's dramatic. And yet the world's leaders don't even have this on their agenda in Copenhagen.


 


…Unfortunately, there are powerful opponents. Leaders of the world's big fundamentalist religions preach in favor of procreation and fiercely oppose birth control.


 


…The only fix is if all countries drastically reduce their populations, clean up their messes and impose mandatory conservation measures.


 


Diane Francis


Financial Post, December 08, 2009

3/26/09

Do some interest groups exaggeratewhile business interests belittlethe threat of climate change?


Can we ever know, on any contentious or politicized topic


how to recognize the real conclusions of science


and how to distinguish them


from scientific-sounding spin or misinformation?


 


Partisans of this issue often wield vastly different facts


and sometimes seem to even live in different realities


 


Perhaps the only hope involves taking a stand


for a breed of journalism and commentary


that is not permitted to simply say anything


that is constrained by standards of evidence, rigor and reproducibility


that are similar to the canons of modern science itself


 


Chris Mooney


Climate Change Myths and Facts


Washington Post, March 21, 2009


 


Does thinking you understand what another says


mean you hear what they mean?


 


Is an untruth disseminated as true a lie


if the truth remains unfound through incuriosity?


 


The partisan


when engaged in a dispute


cares nothing about the rights of the question


but is anxious only to convince his hearers of his own assertions


 


Plato


Why would some mainstream media personalities


criticize policy positions of some


while receiving undisclosed, indirect compensation from others


interested in non-attributed dissention?

Do some interest groups exaggeratewhile business interests belittlethe threat of climate change?


Can we ever know, on any contentious or politicized topic


how to recognize the real conclusions of science


and how to distinguish them


from scientific-sounding spin or misinformation?


 


Partisans of this issue often wield vastly different facts


and sometimes seem to even live in different realities


 


Perhaps the only hope involves taking a stand


for a breed of journalism and commentary


that is not permitted to simply say anything


that is constrained by standards of evidence, rigor and reproducibility


that are similar to the canons of modern science itself


 


Chris Mooney


Climate Change Myths and Facts


Washington Post, March 21, 2009


 


Does thinking you understand what another says


mean you hear what they mean?


 


Is an untruth disseminated as true a lie


if the truth remains unfound through incuriosity?


 


The partisan


when engaged in a dispute


cares nothing about the rights of the question


but is anxious only to convince his hearers of his own assertions


 


Plato


Why would some mainstream media personalities


criticize policy positions of some


while receiving undisclosed, indirect compensation from others


interested in non-attributed dissention?

2/25/09

Do most climate scientists agree that the earth is warming or is there is a lot of disagreement?



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Via Talking Points Memo


http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/news/2009/02/study_antarctic_glaciers_slipping_swiftly_seaward.php?ref=fp6




 


Hurt not the earth, neither the sea nor the trees



Revelation 7:3


Study: Antarctic glaciers slipping swiftly seaward


 


Antarctic warming worse than thought, melting glaciers could raise sea levels over 3 feet


 


ELIANE ENGELER, AP News, Feb 25, 2009 08:42 EST


 


Antarctic glaciers are melting faster across a much wider area than previously thought, scientists said Wednesday — a development that could lead to an unprecedented rise in sea levels.


 


A report by thousands of scientists for the 2007-2008 International Polar Year concluded that the western part of the continent is warming up, not just the Antarctic Peninsula.


 


Previously most of the warming was thought to occur on the narrow stretch pointing toward South America, said Colin Summerhayes, executive director of the Britain-based Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research and a member of International Polar Year's steering committee.


 


But satellite data and automated weather stations indicate otherwise.


 


…For the International Polar Year, scientists from more than 60 countries have been conducting intense Arctic and Antarctic research over the past two southern summer seasons — on the ice, at sea, and via icebreaker, submarine and surveillance satellite.


 


The biggest west Antarctic glacier, the Pine Island Glacier, is moving 40 percent faster than it was in the 1970s, discharging water and ice more rapidly into the ocean, Summerhayes said.


 


The Smith Glacier, also in west Antarctica, is moving 83 percent faster than it did in 1992, he said.


 


All the glaciers in the area together are losing a total of around 103 billion tons (114 billion U.S. tons) per year because the discharge is much greater than the new snowfall, he said.


 


"That's equivalent to the current mass loss from the whole of the Greenland ice sheet," Summerhayes said, adding that the glaciers' discharge was making a significant contribution to the rise in sea levels. "We didn't realize it was moving that fast."


 


The glaciers are slipping into the sea faster because the floating ice shelf that would normally stop them — usually 650 to 980 feet (200 to 300 meters) thick — is melting.


 


The warming of western Antarctica is a real concern.


 


Summerhayes said sea levels will rise faster than predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a group set up by the United Nations.


 


A 2007 IPCC report predicted a sea level rise of 7 to 23 inches (18 to 58 centimeters) by the end of the century, which could flood low-lying areas and force millions to flee. The group said an additional 3.9 to 7.8 inches (10 to 20 centimeters) rise was possible if the recent, surprising melting of polar ice sheets continues.


 


Summerhayes said the rise could be much higher.


 


Ian Allison, co-chair of the International Polar Year's steering committee, said many scientists now say the upper limit for sea level rise should be higher than predicted by IPCC.


 


"That has a very large impact," Allison said, adding that extremely large storms which might previously have occurred once in a year would start to occur on a weekly basis.


 


The IPY researchers found the southern ocean around Antarctica has warmed about 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) in the past decade, double the average warming of the rest of the Earth's oceans over the past 30 years.


 


 


If we’re relatively stuck on Earth for the moment


should we try to make what is last as long as possible?


 


The surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe


is that none of it has tried to contact us



Bill Watterson


Is it too late to fix?


 

Do most climate scientists agree that the earth is warming or is there is a lot of disagreement?



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Via Talking Points Memo


http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/news/2009/02/study_antarctic_glaciers_slipping_swiftly_seaward.php?ref=fp6




 


Hurt not the earth, neither the sea nor the trees



Revelation 7:3


Study: Antarctic glaciers slipping swiftly seaward


 


Antarctic warming worse than thought, melting glaciers could raise sea levels over 3 feet


 


ELIANE ENGELER, AP News, Feb 25, 2009 08:42 EST


 


Antarctic glaciers are melting faster across a much wider area than previously thought, scientists said Wednesday — a development that could lead to an unprecedented rise in sea levels.


 


A report by thousands of scientists for the 2007-2008 International Polar Year concluded that the western part of the continent is warming up, not just the Antarctic Peninsula.


 


Previously most of the warming was thought to occur on the narrow stretch pointing toward South America, said Colin Summerhayes, executive director of the Britain-based Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research and a member of International Polar Year's steering committee.


 


But satellite data and automated weather stations indicate otherwise.


 


…For the International Polar Year, scientists from more than 60 countries have been conducting intense Arctic and Antarctic research over the past two southern summer seasons — on the ice, at sea, and via icebreaker, submarine and surveillance satellite.


 


The biggest west Antarctic glacier, the Pine Island Glacier, is moving 40 percent faster than it was in the 1970s, discharging water and ice more rapidly into the ocean, Summerhayes said.


 


The Smith Glacier, also in west Antarctica, is moving 83 percent faster than it did in 1992, he said.


 


All the glaciers in the area together are losing a total of around 103 billion tons (114 billion U.S. tons) per year because the discharge is much greater than the new snowfall, he said.


 


"That's equivalent to the current mass loss from the whole of the Greenland ice sheet," Summerhayes said, adding that the glaciers' discharge was making a significant contribution to the rise in sea levels. "We didn't realize it was moving that fast."


 


The glaciers are slipping into the sea faster because the floating ice shelf that would normally stop them — usually 650 to 980 feet (200 to 300 meters) thick — is melting.


 


The warming of western Antarctica is a real concern.


 


Summerhayes said sea levels will rise faster than predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a group set up by the United Nations.


 


A 2007 IPCC report predicted a sea level rise of 7 to 23 inches (18 to 58 centimeters) by the end of the century, which could flood low-lying areas and force millions to flee. The group said an additional 3.9 to 7.8 inches (10 to 20 centimeters) rise was possible if the recent, surprising melting of polar ice sheets continues.


 


Summerhayes said the rise could be much higher.


 


Ian Allison, co-chair of the International Polar Year's steering committee, said many scientists now say the upper limit for sea level rise should be higher than predicted by IPCC.


 


"That has a very large impact," Allison said, adding that extremely large storms which might previously have occurred once in a year would start to occur on a weekly basis.


 


The IPY researchers found the southern ocean around Antarctica has warmed about 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) in the past decade, double the average warming of the rest of the Earth's oceans over the past 30 years.


 


 


If we’re relatively stuck on Earth for the moment


should we try to make what is last as long as possible?


 


The surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe


is that none of it has tried to contact us



Bill Watterson


Is it too late to fix?