3/14/09

If good judgment comes from experiencedoes experience come from bad judgment?



History shows again and again


how nature points up the folly of men


 


Godzilla


Blue Oyster Cult


If all of the 5 million Americans


who lost employment in the last 6 months were married


 


and 20% of those households stopped paying back debt


and drained credit line cash


 


how much debt are how many families about to default on?


 


If a home bought for $500K with $100 down becomes worth $300K


as payments become unsustainable


could many buy down while credit is still good


stop payments on house #1 after house #2 closes


and put up with bad credit but still have shelter?


 


If the credit card industry


slashes trillions of consumer credit-card and home equity lines of credit


totaling about half of available consumer liquidity


 


are living standards likely to rise or fall


for those who don’t step back from conformist thought


while many with collectively held erroneous assumptions fracture


succumb to deer in headlights incomprehension


compounding prior miscalculations?



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