8/9/14

Gaza Israel Conflict Statistical Inexactitudes

"...the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights ... recent report as of 6 August, [said] 1,843 Palestinians had been killed and 66 Israelis and one Thai national since Israel launched Operation Protective Edge on 8 July.

If another wants to kill your two kids, 
is a fair compromise the death of one of your children?

Of those Palestinians, the status of 279 could not be identified, at least 1,354 were civilians, including 415 children and 214 women, the UN body reported.

214 / 1,843 = about 12% women confirmed dead

...there were 216 members of armed groups killed, and another 725 men who were civilians.

...of 1,431 [reported gender based] casualties... "the population most likely to be militants, men ages 20 to 29, is the most over-represented in the death toll. 

216 + 725 men = 941 / 1,431 = 66% confirmed male casualties

[Men ages 20 to 29] are 9% of Gaza's 1.7 million residents, 
but 34% of those killed whose ages were provided."


I'm not upset that you lied to me, 
I'm upset that from now on I can't believe you.

Friedrich Nietzsche

...women and children under 15, the least likely to be legitimate targets, were the most underrepresented, making up 71% of the population and 33% of the known-age casualties."

...men aged between 20 and 29 [were] significantly over-represented.


It is an occupational hazard 
that anyone who has spent her life learning how to lie 
eventually becomes bad at telling the truth.

Ally Carter

..."the UN numbers being reported are, by and by large, based on the Gaza health ministry,
a Hamas-run organisation".

...in Operation Cast Lead [the last Israeli ground offensive in December 2008-January 2009], Hamas and Gaza-based organisations claimed that only 50 combatants were killed, admitting years later the number was between 600-700, a figure nearly identical to the figure claimed by the IDF."

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-28688179

If you tell the truth, 
you don't have to remember anything.

Mark Twain


If 50 combatants killed turned into 650,
and 50 / 650 = 7.7%,
a large percentage of what Hamas is saying were not combatants 

http://www.israellycool.com/2014/08/09/analysis-of-gazan-casualties-in-operation-protective-edge-as-of-august-6th/

From a reporter who was in Gaza and Israel;

"...I saw a good amount of buildings releasing rocket fire towards Israel. However, the fighters were more or less ghosts in living rooms.

Not to mention the fact that on more than one occasion of venturing towards a possible Hamas spot, by the time we got there the building was dust, rubble and bodies.

...As far as the access inside, there's a definite sense of urgency for fixers and civilians to display the situation, for absurdly obvious reasons.

Without being political (if it's possible in this arena), regardless of motivations for each sides actions, the situation on the ground is a humanitarian apocalypse consisting of buildings becoming time bombs, the streets becoming morgue runways and the limbs of the dead and the dying marking the street stops. If you put aside the politics, it's a chronologically challenged mass grave with both sides to blame.

...A fighter inside Gaza city threatened to shoot me in the head if I didn't stop taking pictures of a group of cars with tarp-covered trunks parked behind a building.

...It's a dichotomy of them needing the situation to be seen, as long as you only show the damage and not the retaliatory measures.

As for the Israeli side, near Netivot there was a firefight near a Kibbutzim. Hamas fighters had come from under the wire through tunnels. An officer tried to take my camera away after the fact, however, instead they insisted I wouldn't be released until I gave them my SD cards. He argued on the grounds that I was there illegally, although they had been more than happy to smoke and chat beforehand.

The cards were destroyed and I was taken away to a nearby petrol station.

...Any journalist who professes to observe without bias, feeling or fear is a liar, as well as any journalist who claims they are without apprehension of the consequences when working in a geographic raw nerve."

http://www.jpost.com/Operation-Protective-Edge/Reporter-Gazans-only-want-us-to-show-damage-not-shooting-370456

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